Rob's ES3020 - PDFs
Global Climate Change
Rob Wilson's Mega Uber Reading list - DONT PANIC!!!! |

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Please e-mail Rob Wilson (rjsw@st-andrews.ac.uk)
if there are any problems with these links.
[Week 1-2] - Instrumental data and Tree-Ring Lecture
[Week 3] - NH temperature reconstructions - Parts I-III and Assignment II (calibration and verification)
General readings w.r.t. Late Holocene Palaeoclimatology
Jones et al. (2009). High-resolution palaeoclimatology of the last millennium: a
review of current status and future prospects. The Holocene 19,1 (2009) pp. 3–49
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/papers/jones09.pdf
One of the more important general papers you will read for my lectures as it focusses on the last millennium mainly. Getting on a bit but still relevant - see specific session papers however.
Trieste 2008 Paleoclimate Uncertainties Workshop, Final Report.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/reports/trieste2008/trieste2008final.pdf
Jones et al. (2009) paper came out of this meeting.
IPCC -
4th - 6 th assessment reports
http://www.ipcc.ch/
There is too much here for the course, but feel free to dip in and out
Wanner et al.
(2008). Mid- to Late Holocene climate change:
an overview. Quaternary Science Reviews 27. 1791–1828.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/PalaeoPDFs/Wanneretal2008.pdf
More focus on last 6000 years but still some relevance to
last 1000-2000 years.
Walker, M. and Lowe, J., 2007. Quaternary science 2007: a 50-year retrospective
Journal of the Geological Society 164, 1073-1092.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/papers/WalkerandLowe2007.pdf
Covers much of the
Quaternary period - have just added for information
Edwards, T.L., Crucifix, M. and Harrison, S.P., 2007.
Using the past to constrain the future: how the palaeorecord can improve
estimates of global warming Progress in Physical Geography 31 (5), 481-500.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/papers/Edwardsetal2007.pdf
I do not focus too much on climate models, but here is one
paper that goes into the importance of palaeo-date for constraining model
estimate of future climate change
Week 1-2
Practical 1 - instrumental data - do it yourself NH temperatures
Instrumental data quality and
homogeneity corrections
Frank D, Büntgen U, Böhm R, Maugeri M, Esper J (2007) Warmer early instrumental
measurements versus colder reconstructed temperatures: shooting at a moving
target. Quaternary Science Reviews 26, 3298-3310.
http://www.geo.uni-mainz.de/Dateien/Frank_2007_QSR.pdf
Nice paper identifying potential problems in instrumental data when compared to tree-ring data.
Peterson,T.C. et al,
(1998). “Homogeneity adjustments of in
situ atmospheric climate data: a review.” International Journal of Climatology,
18 1493-1517
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/PalaeoPDFs/Peterson-etal-1998.pdf
A classic methods summary paper on homogeneity problems (and correction) in instrumental data.
IPCC -
4th - 6th assessment reports
http://www.ipcc.ch/
Part I (4th)- The Physical Science Basis - Chapters 2 - Observations: Atmosphere and Surface.
Tree-rings and climate
General
Speer, J.H., 2010. Fundamentals of tree-ring research. University of Arizona Press. DOWNLOAD LINK
Briffa and Cook. 2008. What are the
Sources of Uncertainty in the Tree-Ring Data: How can They be Quantified and
Represented? ‘White Paper’ for Trieste Meeting, 9-11 June 2008.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/PalaeoPDFs/Trieste_tree_rings2008.pdf
Although a decade old, it is still a very good summary of the strengths and limitation of
tree-ring data. Some of this made it into Jones et al. (2009)
Esper J, Frank DC, Luterbacher J (2007)
On selected issues and challenges in dendroclimatology. In: Kienast F et al.
(Eds.) A changing world: challenges for landscape research, 113-132, Springer,
Dordrecht.
http://www.geo.uni-mainz.de/Dateien/Esper_2007_Land.pdf
Another group's
observations on strengths and limitations of tree-ring data as a climatic proxy.
BriffaKR (2000) Annual climate
variability in the Holocene: interpreting the message from ancient trees. Q Sci
Rev 19:87–105
http://post.queensu.ca/~biol527/Briffa%20and%20Keith%202000.pdf
A nice review - getting a little dated I guess.
Specific to lecture
Wilson, R.J.S. and Topham, J. 2004. Violins and Climate. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 77: 9-24.
https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/WilsonandTopham2004.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
Cook, E.R., 1985. A linear aggregate model for tree-ring series. From A Time
Series Analysis Approach to Tree-Ring Standardisation. Unpublished Ph.D.
Dissertation, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/PalaeoPDFs/Cook1985-Chapter 2.pdf
Understand this chapter
from this PhD and you have the conceptual knowledge to understand the myriad of
environmental influences on tree growth - climatic, ecological etc etc
Wilson, R.J.S., Esper, J. and Luckman,
B.H. 2004. Utilising Historical Tree-Ring Data for Dendroclimatology: A Case
study from the Bavarian Forest, Germany. Dendrochronologia. 21 (2): 53-68.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Wilsonetal2004.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
Wilson, R.J.S. and Elling, W. 2004. Temporal instabilities of
tree-growth/climate response in the Lower Bavarian Forest Region: Implications
for dendroclimatic reconstruction. Trees: Structure and Function, 18 (1): 19-28.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/WilsonandElling2004.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
Kirdyanov, A.V., Krusic, P.J., Shishov, V.V., Vaganov, E.A., Fertikov, A.I., Myglan, V.S., Barinov, V.V., Browse, J., Esper, J., Ilyin, V.A. and Knorre, A.A., 2020. Ecological and conceptual consequences of Arctic pollution. Ecology letters, 23(12), pp.1827-1837. Ecological and conceptual consequences of Arctic pollution - Kirdyanov - 2020 - Ecology Letters - Wiley Online Library
Swetnam, T. W. 2002. Fire and climate history in the western Americas from tree
rings. PAGES News, 10(1) April 2002.
http://www.ltrr.arizona.edu/~tswetnam/tws-pdf/PAGES-TWS.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture. This is a great piece of work.
McCarroll, D. and Loader, N.J. (2004). Stable isotope Dendroclimatology.
Quaternary Science Reviews 23(7-8) 771-801.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/papers/McCarrollandLoader2004.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
Björklund, J., Seftigen, K., Kaczka, R.J., Rydval, M. and Wilson, R., 2024. A definition and standardised terminology for Blue Intensity from Conifers. Dendrochronologia, 85, p.126200. [view
PDF] good short paper and overview of what is Blue Intensity
Björklund, J., von Arx, G., Nievergelt, D., Wilson, R., Van den Bulcke, J., Günther, B., Loader, N.J., Rydval, M., Fonti, P., Scharnweber, T. and Andreu‐Hayles, L. et al. , 2019. Scientific Merits and Analytical Challenges of Tree‐Ring Densitometry. Reviews of Geophysics. [view
PDF] State if the art review on densitometry: A study mentioned in the lecture
Kaczka, R.J. and Wilson, R., 2021. I-BIND: International Blue Intensity Network Development Working Group. Dendrochronologia, p.125859. [view
PDF] Recent SHORT Blue Intensity review
Wilson, R.J.S, Rao, R., Rydval, M., Wood, C., Larsson, L.-A. and Luckman, B.H. Blue Intensity for Dendroclimatology: The BC Blues: A Case Study from British Columbia Canada. The Holocene. 24 (11): 1428-1438. https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Wilsonetal2014.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
Rydval, M, Larsson, L-Å, McGlynn, L, Gunnarson, BE, Loader, NJ, Young, GHF & Wilson, R. 2014, Blue intensity for dendroclimatology: Should we have the blues? Experiments from Scotland. Dendrochronologia. 32(3): 191-204. https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Rydvaletal2014.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
Björklund, J.A., Gunnarson, B.E., Seftigen, K., Esper, J. and Linderholm, H.W., 2014. Blue intensity and density from northern Fennoscandian tree rings, exploring the potential to improve summer temperature reconstructions with earlywood information. Climate of the Past, 10(2), pp.877-885.
https://www.blogs.uni-mainz.de/fb09climatology/files/2012/03/Bjorklund_2014_ClimPast.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
von Arx, G., Crivellaro, A., Prendin, A.L., Čufar, K. and Carrer, M., 2016. Quantitative wood anatomy—practical guidelines. Frontiers in plant science, 7, p.781.
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2016.00781/full
A study mentioned in the lecture
Arzac, A., Fonti, M.V. and Vaganov, E.A., 2021. An Overview on Dendrochronology and Quantitative Wood Anatomy Studies of Conifers in Southern Siberia (Russia).
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/124_2021_52
A study mentioned in the lecture
Wilmking, M., van der Maaten‐Theunissen, M., van der Maaten, E., Scharnweber, T., Buras, A., Biermann, C., Gurskaya, M., Hallinger, M., Lange, J., Shetti, R. and Smiljanic, M., 2020. Global assessment of relationships between climate and tree growth. Global Change Biology, 26(6), pp.3212-3220.
Link to paper
Interesting review: A study mentioned in the lecture
Cook, E,R., Briffa, K.R.,
Meko, D.M., Graybill, D.A. and Funkhouser, G. 1995. The 'segment length curse'
in long tree-ring chronology development for palaeoclimatic studies. The
Holocene, 5: 229-237.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/papers/Cooketal1995.pdf
Important paper w.r.t. the potential limitation of
capturing long term information from tree-ring data.
Briffa and Melvin (2010). A Closer Look at Regional Curve Standardization of
Tree- Ring Records: Justification of the Need, a Warning of Some Pitfalls, and
Suggested Improvements in Its Application.
http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/people/briffa/Briffa_HB_2008.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture - detailed method - just be aware it exists - dont stress on details.
Wilson, R.J.S., Luckman, B.H. and Esper, J. 2005. A 500-Year Dendroclimatic
Reconstruction of Spring/Summer Precipitation from the Lower Bavarian Forest
Region, Germany. International Journal of Climatology, 25: 611-630.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all pdfs/Wilsonetal2005a.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
Luckman, B.H. and Wilson, R.J.S. 2005. Summer temperature in the Canadian
Rockies during the last millennium - a revised record. Climate Dynamics, 24:
131-144.DOI 10.1007/s00382-004-0511-0.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/LuckmanandWilson2005.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture - relevant for Assignment II
Seftigen, K., Fonti, M.V., Luckman, B., Rydval, M., Stridbeck, P., von Arx, G., Wilson, R. and Björklund, J., 2022. Prospects for dendroanatomy in paleoclimatology–a case study on Picea engelmannii from the Canadian Rockies. Climate of the Past, 18(5), pp.1151-1168.
Part of an ongoing updata study of LW2005
Wang, F., Arseneault, D., Boucher, É., Gennaretti, F., Yu, S. and Zhang, T., 2022. Tropical volcanoes synchronize eastern Canada with Northern Hemisphere millennial temperature variability. Nature communications, 13(1), pp.1-10.
A study mentioned in the lecture - the latest MXD record for North America - good data - but nothing new in the paper.
Watson, E. and Luckman, B.H. (2004) Tree-Ring Based Reconstructions of
Precipitation for the Southern Canadian Cordillera. Climatic Change, 65,
209-241.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/papers/WatsonandLuckman2004.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
Cook et al. (2004). Reconstruction of Past Drought Across North America from a
Network of Climatically Sensitive Tree-Ring Data.
http://wdc.obs-mip.fr/pdsidata.html
A study mentioned in the lecture. This is a fabulous large scale project. Cook has now done similar work for Monsoon Asia and Europe. Latter will be published soon.
Stahle, D. et al. 1998. The Lost Colony and Jamestown Droughts. Science 280(5363): 564-567
http://eesc.columbia.edu/courses/w4835/lost.colony.pdf
A study not mentioned in the lecture but is a great read
Cook ER, Seager R, Kushnir Y, Briffa KR, Büntgen U, Frank D, Krusic PJ, Tegel W, van der Schrier G, Andreu-Hayles L, Baillie M, Baittinger C, Bleicher N, Bonde N, Brown D, Career M, Cooper R, Cufar K, Dittmar C, Esper J, Griggs C, Gunnarson B, Günther B, Gutierrez E, Haneca K, Helama S, Herzig F, Heussner K-U, Hofmann J, Janda P, Kontic R, Köse N, Kyncl T, Levanic T, Linderholm H, Manning S, Melvin TM, Miles D, Neuwirth B, Nicolussi K, Nola P, Panayotov M, Popa I, Rothe A, Seftigen K, Seim A, Svarva H, Svoboda M, Thun T, Timonen M, Touchan R, Trotsiuk V, Trouet V, Walder F, Wazny T, Wilson R, Zang C (2015) Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era. Science Advances 1: e1500561
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Cooketal2015.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
D'Arrigo, R, Wilson, R., Deser, C, Wiles, G., Cook, E., Villalba, R., Tudhope,
A., Cole, J. and Linsley, B. 2005. Tropical-North Pacific Climate Linkages Over
the Past Four Centuries. Journal of Climate. 18 (24) 5253?5265.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/DArrigoetal2005d.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
D'Arrigo, R. and Wilson, R. On the Asian Expression of the PDO. International
Journal of Climatology. 26: 1607–1617.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all pdfs/DArrigoandWilson2006.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture
Some further studies that may be of interest - there are lots more - these are more to give you an idea!!!!
Buckley et al 2010: Climate as a contributing factor in the demise of Angkor, Cambodia
Cook et al 2010: Asian monsoon failure and megadrought during the last millennium
Esper et al 2012: Orbital forcing of tree-ring data
Belmecheri et al. 2015: Multi-century evaluation of Sierra Nevada snowpack
Esper, J. et al. 2020. Eastern Mediterranean summer temperatures since 730 CE from Mt. Smolikas tree-ring densities. Climate Dynamics, 54(3), pp.1367-1382.
Loader, et al. 2020. Summer precipitation for the England and Wales region, 1201–2000 ce, from stable oxygen isotopes in oak tree rings. Journal of Quaternary Science, 35(6), pp.731-736.
Martin, J.T et al. 2020. Increased drought severity tracks warming in the United States’ largest river basin. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(21), pp.11328-11336.
Coulthard, B.L., Anchukaitis, K.J., Pederson, G.T., Cook, E., Littell, J. and Smith, D.J., 2021. Snowpack signals in North American tree rings. Environmental Research Letters, 16(3), p.034037.
Shestakova, T.A. and Martínez-Sancho, E., 2021. Stories hidden in tree rings: a review on the application of stable carbon isotopes to dendrosciences. Dendrochronologia, 65, p.125789.
Week 3 - Northern Hemisphere Temperature reconstructions - Parts I-III
Large scale northern hemisphere reconstructions of past
temperature variation are important to compare to model output. There are many
versions - here are just a few I talk about in the lecture. Their generation
(data, methods etc) are highly contentious and are often attacked by climate
sceptics.
Lots of papers I know - go through lecture, read abstracts, introductions and conclusions for most papers. This should give you the basics.
National Research Council of the US National Academy of Sciences (2006):
Surface temperature reconstructions for the last 2000 years. National Academies
Press
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/PalaeoPDFs/NRCreport2006.pdf
A relatively nice critical review. Not as complete as IPCC report
but more readable - a little out of date now but still relevant for concepts.
This is a
pre-publication version. The main conclusions are still relevant.
Final published version can be accessed here: http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=11676#toc
Jones, P.D., Briffa, K.R.,
Barnett, T.P., Tett, S.F.B., 1998. High
resolution palaeoclimatic records for the past millennium – interpretation,
integration and comparison with general circulation model control-run
temperatures. The Holocene 8, 455–471.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/papers/Jonesetal-1998.pdf
One of the first attempts at a millennial length NH reconstruction.
Mann M, Bradley R, Hughes M (1999)
Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: inferences,
uncertainties and limitations. Geophys Res Lett 26:759–762
http://www.geo.umass.edu/faculty/bradley/mann1999.pdf
The Hockey Stick!!!
BriffaKR (2000) Annual climate
variability in the Holocene: interpreting the message from ancient trees. Q Sci
Rev 19:87–105
http://post.queensu.ca/~biol527/Briffa%20and%20Keith%202000.pdf
Esper J, Cook ER, Schweingruber FH (2002)
Low-frequency signals in long tree-ring chronologies and the reconstruction of
past temperature variability. Science 295, 2250-2253.
http://www.geo.uni-mainz.de/Dateien/Esper_2002_Science.pdf
The first millennial length tree-ring NH reconstruction. IMPORTANT as it was the first record that showed that low frequency information could be gleaned from dendro data.
Cook ER, Esper J, D’Arrigo R (2004) Extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere
temperature variability over the past 1000 years. Quaternary Science Reviews 23,
2063-2074.
http://www.geo.uni-mainz.de/Dateien/Cook_2004_QSR.pdf
A slight update to Esper et al. (2002) - a good paper.
Esper J, Frank DC, Wilson RJS (2004) Climate reconstructions - low frequency
ambition and high frequency ratification. EOS 85, 113, 120.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Esperetal2004.pdf
Moberg, A., Sonechkin, D.M.,
Holmgren, K., Datsenko, N.M., Karle`n, W., 2005. Highly variable northern hemisphere
temperatures from low- and high-resolution proxy data. Nature 433, 613–617.
http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/PDF_Papers/MobergEtAl2005.pdf
Esper J, Wilson RJS, Frank DC, Moberg A, Wanner H, Luterbacher J (2005) Climate:
past ranges and future changes. Quaternary Science Reviews 24, 2164-2166.
http://www.geo.uni-mainz.de/Dateien/Esper_2005_QSR.pdf
D'Arrigo, R., Wilson, R. and Jacoby, G. 2006. On the long-term context for late
20th century warming. (Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 111, D03103,
doi:10.1029/2005JD006352
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/DArrigoetal2006a.pdf
Still a focus in the lecture, but this is now effectively out of date - Wilson et al. (2016) N-TREND work can be seen as an update of this.
Wilson,
R., D’Arrigo. R., Buckley, B., Büntgen, U., Esper, J., Frank, D., Luckman, B.,
Payette, S. Vose, R. and Youngblut, D. 2007. A matter of divergence – tracking
recent warming at hemispheric scales using tree-ring data. JGR - Atmospheres.
VOL. 112, D17103, doi:10.1029/2006JD008318
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Wilsonetal2007b.pdf
This is now our of date - Wilson et al. (2016) N-TREND work can be seen as an update of this.
D Frank, D., J. Esper, E. Zorita, R. Wilson. (2010). A noodle, hockey stick, and
spaghetti plate: a perspective on high resolution paleoclimatology. Wiley
Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change. doi: 10.1002/wcc.53.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all pdfs/Franketal2010.pdf
A good review of the state of the art until the 2015/2016 new generation of reconstructions.
Esper J, St. George S, Anchukaitis K, D’Arrigo R, Ljungqvist F, Luterbacher J, Schneider L, Stoffel M, Wilson R, Büntgen U (2018) Large-scale, millennial-length temperature reconstructions from tree-rings. Dendrochronologia 50, 81-90.
https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Esperetal2018.pdf
A an update of the 2010 review paper focussing on studies up to 2017
Anchukaitis, K.J. and Smerdon, J.E. (2022). Progress and uncertainties in global and hemispheric temperature reconstructions of the Common Era. Quaternary Science Reviews, 286, p.107537.
Am even more recent update on NH recons - really nice paper and is critical on the IPCC AR6 reconstruction
Schneider L, et al. (2015) Revising midlatitude summer temperatures back to AD 600 based on a wood density network. Geophysical Research Letters 42, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063956.
https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Schneideretal2015.pdf
First of the latest generation of NH papers. Focus/relevance more on volcanic forcing.
Stoffel, M., et al. (2015). Estimates of volcanic-induced cooling in the Northern Hemisphere over the past 1,500 years. Nature Geoscience. 8, 784–788 (2015) doi:10.1038/ngeo2526.
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v8/n10/full/ngeo2526.html
Another important student on NH tempertaures and volcanic forcing. We are unable to replciate their reconstruction however.
Wilson R, Anchukaitis K, Briffa K, Büntgen U, Cook E, D’Arrigo R, Davi N, Esper J, Frank D, Gunnarson B, Hegerl G, Helema S, Klesse S, Krusic P, Linderholm HW, Myglan V, Osborn T, Rydval M, Schneider L, Schurer A, Wiles G, Zhang P, Zorita (2016). Last millennium Northern Hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part I: the long term context. Quaternary Science Reviews 134: 1-18
https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Wilsonetal2016.pdf
Part I of the N-TREND consortium work. I spend some time on these studies.
Anchukaitis, K.J., R. Wilson, K. Briffa, U. Büntgen, E.R. Cook, R.D. D’Arrigo, N. Davi, J. Esper, D. Frank, B. Gunnarson, G. Hegerl, S. Helama, S. Klesse, P.J. Krusic, H. Linderholm, V. Myglan, T. J. Osborn, Z. Peng, M. Rydval, L. Schneider, A. Schurer, G. Wiles and E. Zorita.(2017). Last millennium Northern Hemisphere summer temperatures from tree rings: Part II: spatially resolved reconstructions, Quaternary Science Reviews, 163, 1-22, doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.02.020
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/N-TREND/Anchukaitisetal2017.pdf
Part II of the N-TREND consortium work. I spend some time on these studies.
Anchukaitis, K.J. and Smerdon, J.E. (2022). Progress and uncertainties in global and hemispheric temperature reconstructions of the Common Era. Quaternary Science Reviews, 286, p.107537.
Am even more recent update on NH recons - really nice paper and is critical on the IPCC AR6 reconstruction
Divergence papers
D'Arrigo, R., Wilson, R., Liepert, B and Cherubini, P. 2008. On the 'Divergence
Problem' in Northern Forests: A Review of the Tree-Ring Evidence and Possible
Causes. Global and Planetary Change. 60: 289–305.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/D'Arrigoetal2008.pdf
A study mentioned in the lecture. This is an very
important issue in dendroclimatology.
Esper J, Frank DC (2009) Divergence pitfalls in tree-ring research. Climatic
Change 94, 261-266.
http://www.geo.uni-mainz.de/Dateien/Esper_2009_CC_PIT.pdf
The divergence issue from a slightly different angle.
Wilmking, M., Juday, G.P., Barber, V.A. and Zald, H.S., 2004. Recent climate warming forces contrasting growth responses of white spruce at treeline in Alaska through temperature thresholds. Global Change Biology,10(10), pp.1724-1736.
http://lemma.forestry.oregonstate.edu/export/pubs/wilmking_etal_2004_global_change_biology.pdf
Wilmking, M., D'arrigo, R., Jacoby, G.C. and Juday, G.P., 2005. Increased temperature sensitivity and divergent growth trends in circumpolar boreal forests. Geophysical Research Letters, 32(15).
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2005GL023331/full
Lloyd, A.H. and Bunn, A.G., 2007. Responses of the circumpolar boreal forest to 20th century climate variability. Environmental research letters,2(4), p.045013.
http://cedar.wwu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1010&context=esci_facpubs
There now follows a whole ream of NH based papers. Dont get bogged down in the detail. In my opinion most of these are now defunct!!!
Hegerl, G.C., Crowley, T.J., Allen, M.R., Hyde, W.T., Pollack, H.N., Smerdon,
J.E. and Zorita, E. 2007: Detection of human influence on a new, validated 1500
year temperature reconstruction. Journal of Climate 20, 650–66.
http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jsmerdon/papers/JC_2007_Hegerletal.pdf
Michael E. Mann, Zhihua Zhang, Malcolm K. Hughes, Raymond S. Bradley, Sonya K.
Miller, Scott Rutherford, and Fenbiao Ni. (2008). Proxy-based reconstructions of
hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two
millennia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol. 105, No. 36,
pp. 13252-13257.
http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2008/09/02/0805721105.full.pdf+html
Loehle, C., and J. H. McCulloch, 2008: Correction to: A 2000-Year Global Temperature Reconstruction Based on Non-Tree Ring Proxies. Energy & Environment, 19, 93-100.
http://joannenova.com.au/globalwarming/source/loehle/8-Loehle.pdf
Ljungqvist, F. C., 2010: A new reconstruction of temperature variability in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere during the last two millennia. Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography, 92, 339–351.
http://www.agbjarn.blog.is/users/fa/agbjarn/files/ljungquist-temp-reconstruction-2000-years.pdf
Christiansen, B., and F. C. Ljungqvist, 2012: The extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere temperature in the last two millennia: reconstructions of low-frequency variability. Climate of the Past, 8, 765-786.
http://www.clim-past.net/8/765/2012/cp-8-765-2012.pdf
This records is weird - horribly method that does not work - surprising that this got published
Ljungqvist, F. C., P. J. Krusic, G. Brattström, and H. S. Sundqvist, 2012: Northern Hemisphere temperature patterns in the last 12 centuries. Climate of the Past, 8, 227-249.
http://www.clim-past.net/8/227/2012/cp-8-227-2012.pdf
Really nice paper - worth reading - mentioned in lecture
Shi, F., et al., 2013: Northern hemisphere temperature reconstruction during the last millennium using multiple annual proxies. Climate Research, 56, 231-244.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Shietal.pdf
Mann, Michael E., Jose D. Fuentes, and Scott Rutherford. "Underestimation of volcanic cooling in tree-ring-based reconstructions of hemispheric temperatures." Nature Geoscience 5.3 (2012): 202-205. http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v5/n3/full/ngeo1394.html
Crock of XXXX!!!!!!
Anchukaitis, K., Breitenmoser, P., Briffa, K., Buchwal, A., Büntgen, U., Cook, E., D'Arrigo, R., Esper, J., Evans, M., Frank, D., Grudd, H., Gunnarson, B., Hughes, M., Kirdyanov, A., Körner, C., Krusic, P., Luckman, B., Melvin, T., Salzer, M., Shashkin, A., Timmreck, C., Vaganov, E. And Wilson, R. 2012. Tree rings and volcanic cooling. Nature Geoscience. 5: 836–837. doi:10.1038/ngeo1645
https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Anchukaitisetal2012.pdf
Dendro community response to above Mann paper!! This is the beginning to what is now called the N-TREND consortium. https://wordpress.com/pages/ntrenddendro.wordpress.com
Mann et al. (2013). Discrepancies between the modeled and proxy-reconstructed response to volcanic forcing over the past millennium: Implications and possible mechanisms. JGR. 118, 14, p. 7617-7627.
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/Mann/articles/articles/MRSTF-JGRInPress.pdf
Esper J et al (2013) Testing the hypothesis of post-volcanic missing rings in temperature sensitive dendrochronological data. Dendrochronologia. 31 (3): 216-222.
http://www.blogs.uni-mainz.de/fb09climatology/files/2012/03/Esper_2013_Den.pdf
Esper J et al (2013) European summer temperature response to annually dated volcanic eruptions over the past nine centuries. Bulletin of Volcanology 75, 736, doi: 10.1007/s00445-013-0736-z.
http://www.blogs.uni-mainz.de/fb09climatology/files/2012/03/Esper_2013_BullVol.pdf
St. George et al. (2013). The rarity of absent growth rings in Northern Hemisphere forests
outside the American Southwest. Geophysical Research Letters 40, doi:10.1002/grl.50743
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50743/full
D’Arrigo, et al. (2013). Volcanic cooling signal in tree-ring temperature reconstructions for the past millennium, Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50692
https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/D'Arrigoetal2013.pdf
Sigl, M., Winstrup, M., McConnell, J.R., Welten, K.C., Plunkett, G., Ludlow, F., Büntgen, U., Caffee, M., Chellman, N., Dahl-Jensen, D. and Fischer, H., 2015. Timing and climate forcing of volcanic eruptions for the past 2,500 years. Nature.
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v523/n7562/abs/nature14565.html
Büntgen, U., Wacker, L., Galván, J.D., Arnold, S., Arseneault, D., Baillie, M., Beer, J., Bernabei, M., Bleicher, N., Boswijk, G. and Bräuning, A. et al, (2018). Tree rings reveal globally coherent signature of cosmogenic radiocarbon events in 774 and 993 CE. Nature communications, 9.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-06036-0
Assignment 1 - Calibration/Verification Assignment
It will not hurt to do some further reading.............???
Papers to critique/review
Luckman, B.H. and Wilson, R.J.S. (2005). Summer temperature in the Canadian Rockies during the last millennium - a revised record. Climate Dynamics, 24: 131-144.DOI 10.1007/s00382-004-0511-0.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/LuckmanandWilson2005.pdf
St.George R. S. and Luckman B.H. (2001) Extracting a paleotemperature record from Picea engelmannii treeline sites in the central Canadian Rockies. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 31, 457-470
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/PalaeoPDFs/St-George-CJFR2001.pdf
Other relevant papers
Wilson, R.J.S. and Luckman, B.H. 2002. Tree-ring reconstruction of maximum and minimum temperatures and the diurnal temperature range in British Columbia, Canada. Dendrochronologia, 20(3): 257-268.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/WilsonandLuckman2002.pdf
Wilson, R.J.S. and Luckman, B.H. 2003. Dendroclimatic Reconstruction of Maximum Summer Temperatures from Upper Tree-Line Sites in Interior British Columbia. The Holocene. 13(6): 853-863.
http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/WilsonandLuckman2003.pdf
Wilson, R.J.S, Rao, R., Rydval, M., Wood, C., Larsson, L.-A. and Luckman, B.H. Blue Intensity for Dendroclimatology: The BC Blues: A Case Study from British Columbia Canada. The Holocene. 24 (11): 1428-1438.
https://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~rjsw/all%20pdfs/Wilsonetal2014.pdf
Björklund, J., von Arx, G., Nievergelt, D., Wilson, R., Van den Bulcke, J., Günther, B., Loader, N.J., Rydval, M., Fonti, P., Scharnweber, T. and Andreu‐Hayles, L. et al. , 2019. Scientific Merits and Analytical Challenges of Tree‐Ring Densitometry. Reviews of Geophysics. [view
PDF]
Kaczka, R.J. and Wilson, R., 2021. I-BIND: International Blue Intensity Network Development Working Group. Dendrochronologia, p.125859. [view
PDF]